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src='\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1767128674419_4.jpg' alt='\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u56fe\u8868_David Einhorn \u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b \u4ef7\u503c\u6295\u8d44 \u901a\u7528\u6c7d\u8f66' 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\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1990\u20142017\u4e16\u754c\u6c7d\u8f66\u9500\u91cf\u8d70\u52bf\u56fe<\/p>\n<p><img src='\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1767128674419_5.jpg' alt='David Einhorn \u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b \u4ef7\u503c\u6295\u8d44 \u901a\u7528\u6c7d\u8f66_\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u56fe\u8868' \/><\/p>\n<p>\u518d\u6709\uff0c\u4f9d\u636eBureau of Labor Statistics\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff08\u5982\u4e0b\u56fe\u793a\uff09\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u85aa\u8d44\u5904\u4e8e\u62ac\u5347\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u540c\u6837\u5448\u73b0\u4e0a\u626c\u6001\u52bf\u3002\u5e76\u4e14\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u65b0\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570PMI\u8d85\u51fa\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u66f4\u662f\u521b\u4e0b16\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u65b0\u4f4e\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6674\u96e8\u8868\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u5448\u73b0\u51fa\u4e00\u7247\u5927\u597d\u5f62\u5f0f\uff0c\u79d1\u6280\u7248\u5c61\u521b\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002\u79cd\u79cd\u8ff9\u8c61\u7686\u5728\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b63\u5904\u5728\u5f3a\u52b2\u590d\u82cf\u9636\u6bb5\u3002\u6545\u800c\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u89c9\u5f97\u62c5\u5fc3\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\uff08\u52a8\u529b\u4e0d\u8db3\uff09\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u4e0d\u591f\u6210\u719f\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u4e5f\u9886\u60c5\u8d44\u672c\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u60b2\u89c2\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u52a9\u529b\u6211\u4eec\u6324\u6389\u4e86\u6ce1\u6cab\uff01<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd2016\u4e0e2017\u5de5\u4f5c\u4eba\u6570\u4e0e\u5468\u85aa\u5bf9\u6bd4\u56fe<\/p>\n<p><img src='\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1767128674419_6.jpg' alt='David Einhorn \u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b \u4ef7\u503c\u6295\u8d44 \u901a\u7528\u6c7d\u8f66_\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u56fe\u8868' \/><\/p>\n<p>\u4e8c\uff0c\u56de\u8d2d\u5e26\u6765\u4e00\u6ce2\u798f\u5229<\/p>\n<p>\u9996\u5148\u53bb\u77a7\u77a7\u901a\u7528\u7684\u5b9e\u529b\u597d\u8ba9\u5fc3\u91cc\u8e0f\u5b9e\u4e9b\uff0c\u4ece\u4e0b\u9762\u7684\u4e24\u5f20\u8868\u80fd\u591f\u770b\u5f97\u51fa\uff0c\u901a\u7528\u6c7d\u8f66\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u89c4\u6a21\u4ee5\u53ca\u76c8\u5229\u80fd\u529b\u53ef\u4e0d\u5047\uff0c\u5c5e\u4e8e\u4e1a\u5185\u7684\u4f7c\u4f7c\u8005\uff01\u8fd9\u822c\u7684\u5de8\u5934\u5730\u4f4d\u4f7f\u5b83\u5177\u5907\u4e86\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\uff01\u5c31\u4e1a\u7ee9\u65b9\u9762\u6765\u8bb2\uff0c\u901a\u7528\u5f53\u4e0b\u5448\u73b0\u51fa\u6765\u826f\u597d\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u8ddf 2016 \u5e74\u540c\u671f\u53bb\u6bd4\u8f83\uff0c\u5b83\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u51c0\u6536\u5165\u540c\u5148\u524d\u76f8\u6bd4\u589e\u957f\u7ea6 34\uff05\uff0c\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5361\u8f66\u4ee5\u53ca SUV \u7684\u9500\u91cf\u5341\u5206\u5f3a\u52b2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5168\u7403\u6c7d\u8f66\u5de8\u5934\u5e02\u573a\u4efd\u989d\u8868<\/p>\n<p><img src='\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1767128674419_7.jpg' alt='\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u56fe\u8868_David Einhorn \u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b \u4ef7\u503c\u6295\u8d44 \u901a\u7528\u6c7d\u8f66' \/><\/p>\n<p>\u5168\u7403\u6c7d\u8f66\u5de8\u5934\u76c8\u5229\u80fd\u529b\u5bf9\u6bd4\u8868<\/p>\n<p><img src='\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1767128674419_8.jpg' alt='David Einhorn \u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b \u4ef7\u503c\u6295\u8d44 \u901a\u7528\u6c7d\u8f66_\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u56fe\u8868' \/><\/p>\n<p>\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u5b58\u5728\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f69\u86cb\uff0c\u5373\u901a\u7528\u6c7d\u8f66\u4e8e\u4eca\u5e74\u4e09\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u628a\u6b27\u5b9d\u548c\u6c83\u514b\u65af\u8c6a\u5c14\u4ee5\u4e09\u5341\u4e5d\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u552e\u4ef7\u5356\u7ed9\u4e86PSA\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u6709\u4e00\u5927\u6ce2\u73b0\u91d1\u56de\u6d41\uff0c\u901a\u7528\u5ba3\u79f0\u8fd9\u7b14\u73b0\u91d1\u4f1a\u7528\u4e8e\u56de\u8d2d\u81ea\u8eab\u80a1\u4efd\uff0c\u6545\u800c\u57282017\u5e74\u5e95\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u901a\u7528\u80fd\u591f\u8d2d\u4e70\u81ea\u8eab\u9ad8\u8fbe40\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u80a1\u4efd\uff0c\u901a\u7528\u5728\u4eca\u5e743\u670831\u65e5\u524d\u4e70\u4e0b\u4e8610\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8981\u662f\u901a\u7528\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u518d\u5ea6\u8d2d\u4e7010\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5176\u80a1\u7968\u603b\u989d\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u8fd12%\uff0c\u5f88\u663e\u7136\u8fd9\u4f1a\u5f15\u53d1\u4e00\u6ce2\u4e0a\u6da8 \uff01<\/p>\n<p>\u4e09\uff0c\u901a\u7528\u672a\u6765\u7684\u524d\u666f<\/p>\n<p>\u77ed\u671f\u6765\u770b\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>\u77ed\u671f\u5185\uff0c\u6c7d\u8f66\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u7684\u884c\u60c5\u8981\u53d1\u751f\u8f6c\u53d8\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\uff0c\u4ece\u6d88\u8d39\u5c42\u9762\u6765\u8bb2\uff0c\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66\u6682\u65f6\u65e0\u6cd5\u64bc\u52a8\u901a\u7528\u7684\u6c5f\u6e56\u5927\u4f6c\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u5f53\u4e0b\uff0c\u901a\u7528\u6c7d\u8f66\u548c\u4e30\u7530\u5728\u76c8\u5229\u80fd\u529b\u4ee5\u53ca\u751f\u4ea7\u6548\u7387\u65b9\u9762\u4ecd\u5c45\u4e8e\u9886\u5148\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u5c31\u77ed\u671f\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u7edf\u6cbb\u5f88\u96be\u53d7\u5230\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u58f0\u8a89\u7684\u5f62\u6210\u9700\u8981\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u751f\u4ea7\u6548\u7387\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u751f\u4ea7\u5468\u671f\u91cc\u7684\u6240\u6709\u7ec4\u4ef6\uff0c\u800c\u6e20\u9053\u7684\u94fa\u8bbe\u540c\u6837\u9700\u8981\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u51b5\u4e14\u6c7d\u8f66\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6d89\u53ca\u7684\u5c42\u9762\u5982\u6b64\u4e4b\u591a\u3002\u53ea\u8981\u77f3\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u6301\u7eed\u7a33\u5b9a\u4e8e\u5f53\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u71c3\u6cb9\u6d88\u8d39\u91cf\u5360\u636e\u4e00\u5b9a\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7684\u6c7d\u8f66\u5c31\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u5907\u53d7\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u9752\u7750\uff08\u8fd9\u91cc\u8868\u8ff0\u6709\u4e9b\u6a21\u7cca\uff0c\u6309\u539f\u53e5\u903b\u8f91\u5927\u81f4\u5982\u6b64\u6539\u5199\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u957f\u671f\u6765\u770b:<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66\u9500\u552e\u91cf\u6392\u884c\u699c\uff08cherry\u4e3a\u901a\u7528\u65d7\u4e0b\u516c\u53f8\uff09<\/p>\n<p><img src='\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1767128674419_9.jpg' alt='David Einhorn \u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b \u4ef7\u503c\u6295\u8d44 \u901a\u7528\u6c7d\u8f66_\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u56fe\u8868' \/><\/p>\n<p>\u62e5\u6709\u957f\u671f\u6210\u529f\u53d1\u5c55\u6001\u52bf\u7684\u6c7d\u8f66\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\uff0c\u5176\u5173\u952e\u56e0\u7d20\u5728\u4e8e\u521b\u65b0\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e0d\u8a00\u800c\u55bb\u7684\u3002\u800c\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\uff0c\u884c\u4e1a\u7ade\u4e89\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u9886\u57df\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66\u3002\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u76845\u5e74\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66\u5448\u73b0\u51fa\u663e\u8457\u7684\u589e\u957f\u6001\u52bf\uff0c\u5176\u590d\u5408\u589e\u957f\u7387\u9ad8\u8fbe32\uff05\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f53\u4e0b\uff0c\u7279\u65af\u62c9\u597d\u50cf\u6709\u7740\u6700\u4e3a\u4f18\u79c0\u7684\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u9664\u6b64\u4ee5\u5916\uff0c\u7279\u65af\u62c9\u8fd8\u9488\u5bf9\u5176\u5168\u90e8\u8f66\u8f86\u7814\u53d1\u4e86\u5177\u5907\u5168\u529f\u80fd\u7684\u81ea\u4e3b\u9a7e\u9a76\u8f6f\u4ef6\uff0c\u6beb\u65e0\u7591\u4e49\u7279\u65af\u62c9\u5f53\u524d\u662f\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66\u9886\u57df\u7684\u9886\u5148\u524d\u884c\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u901a\u7528\u5df2\u7136\u8bc1\u5b9e\u81ea\u8eab\u4e43\u662f\u7279\u65af\u62c9\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u7684\u654c\u624b\uff0c\u5176\u63a8\u51fa\u4e86\u7eed\u822a\u91cc\u7a0b\u8fbe382\u516c\u91cc\u7684Bolt 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