{"id":10190,"date":"2026-02-10T07:12:02","date_gmt":"2026-02-09T23:12:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/yiqihuijia.com.cn\/index.php\/2026\/02\/10\/%e5%a6%82%e4%bd%95%e5%bf%ab%e9%80%9f%e6%ad%a3%e7%a1%ae%e8%ae%a1%e7%ae%97%e6%9c%9f%e6%9c%9b%e5%80%bc%ef%bc%9fev%e8%ae%a1%e7%ae%97%e6%96%b9%e6%b3%95%e5%a4%a7%e6%8f%ad%e7%a7%98\/"},"modified":"2026-02-10T07:12:02","modified_gmt":"2026-02-09T23:12:02","slug":"%e5%a6%82%e4%bd%95%e5%bf%ab%e9%80%9f%e6%ad%a3%e7%a1%ae%e8%ae%a1%e7%ae%97%e6%9c%9f%e6%9c%9b%e5%80%bc%ef%bc%9fev%e8%ae%a1%e7%ae%97%e6%96%b9%e6%b3%95%e5%a4%a7%e6%8f%ad%e7%a7%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/qqovblr.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/10\/%e5%a6%82%e4%bd%95%e5%bf%ab%e9%80%9f%e6%ad%a3%e7%a1%ae%e8%ae%a1%e7%ae%97%e6%9c%9f%e6%9c%9b%e5%80%bc%ef%bc%9fev%e8%ae%a1%e7%ae%97%e6%96%b9%e6%b3%95%e5%a4%a7%e6%8f%ad%e7%a7%98\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5982\u4f55\u5feb\u901f\u6b63\u786e\u8ba1\u7b97\u671f\u671b\u503c\uff1fEV\u8ba1\u7b97\u65b9\u6cd5\u5927\u63ed\u79d8"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img src='\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1770678721531_0.jpg' alt='\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514bEV\u8ba1\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f_\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u5982\u4f55\u7b97\u7b79\u7801_\u5982\u4f55\u4f7f\u7528EV\u505a\u51b3\u7b56' \/><\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u60f3\u5728<a href='\/index.php\/2026\/02\/10\/%e4%b8%a4%e4%ba%ba%e5%9b%a0%e5%81%87%e5%80%9f%e5%be%b7%e5%b7%9e%e6%89%91%e5%85%8b%e8%bf%9b%e8%a1%8c%e7%bd%91%e7%bb%9c%e8%b5%8c%e5%8d%9a%e8%a2%ab%e5%88%a4%e5%88%91-3\/' title='\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b' target='_blank'>\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b<\/a>\u4e2d<a href='\/index.php\/2026\/01\/13\/%e4%b8%a4%e5%88%86%e9%92%9f%e5%ad%a6%e4%bc%9a%e5%be%b7%e5%b7%9e%e6%89%91%e5%85%8b%e6%8a%80%e5%b7%a7%ef%bc%81-4\/' title='\u957f\u671f\u76c8\u5229' target='_blank'>\u957f\u671f\u76c8\u5229<\/a>\u5fb7\u4fe1\u7ade\u6280\uff0c\u90a3\u4f60\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u6e05\u695a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6982\u5ff5\u201cEV\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u90a3\u4e48\uff0cEV\u7a76\u7adf\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u600e\u6837\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u8ba1\u7b97\u5f97\u51fa\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u5462\uff1f\u4e0b\u9762\uff0c\u9488\u5bf9\u6b64\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4f1a\u7ed9\u5927\u5bb6\u8fdb\u884c\u4e3e\u4f8b\u8bf4\u660e\uff0c\u6240\u4e3e\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f\u6781\u4e3a\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u90a3\u79cd\uff0c\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u5728\u6251\u514b\u6e38\u620f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7279\u5b9a\u73af\u5883\u91cc\u9762\uff0c\u8fc5\u901f\u5730\u5957\u7528EV\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u505a\u51fa\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1. \u4ec0\u4e48\u662fEV<\/p>\n<p>2. \u5982\u4f55\u4f7f\u7528EV<\/p>\n<p>3. \u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48EV\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981<\/p>\n<p>EV\u5355\u5355\u662fExpected Value\uff0c\u6570\u5b66\u6982\u5ff5\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u662f\u4e00\u79cd<a href='\/index.php\/2026\/01\/02\/%e5%be%b7%e5%b7%9e%e6%89%91%e5%85%8b%ef%bc%9a%e7%94%a8%e8%b5%a2%e7%8e%87%e4%bc%b0%e7%ae%97%e6%89%93%e7%89%8c%e8%96%aa%e6%b0%b4%ef%bc%8c%e7%bd%91%e4%b8%8a%e8%ae%ba%e5%9d%9b%e8%ae%a8\/' title='\u671f\u671b\u503c' target='_blank'>\u671f\u671b\u503c<\/a>\uff0c\u5b83\u662f\u968f\u673a\u53d8\u91cf\u5728\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u671f\u671b\u72b6\u51b5\u4e0b\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u63a5\u7740\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4ee5\u4e00\u79cd\u5ba2\u89c2\u4e14\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u53bb\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u5904\u4e8e\u3010\u957f\u671f\u3011\u7684\u6e38\u620f\u8fdb\u7a0b\u5f53\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u4e3e\u52a8\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u5230\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u7a76\u7adf\u4f1a\u4e3a\u6211\u5e26\u6765\u591a\u5c11\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u5462\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u4f60\u5fc5\u7136\u4f1a\u4e8e\u6251\u514b\u6e38\u620f\u7684\u684c\u9762\u4e0a\u65f6\u5e38\u542c\u95fb\u5bf9\u624b\u5bf9\u4f60\u8bb2\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u9879\u6b63\u9762\u9884\u671f\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u9879\u8d1f\u9762\u9884\u671f\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u3002<\/p>\n<p>+EV=\u8bf4\u660e\u4f60\u8fd9\u4e2a\u884c\u4e3a\u5728\u957f\u671f\u6e38\u620f\u4e2d\u80fd\u83b7\u5f97\u6536\u76ca<\/p>\n<p>-EV=\u8bf4\u660e\u4f60\u8fd9\u4e2a\u884c\u4e3a\u5728\u957f\u671f\u6e38\u620f\u4e2d\u635f\u5931\u7b79\u7801<\/p>\n<p>\u73a9\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u65f6\uff0c\u4f60\u5f97\u5728\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u6301\u7eed\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u8fd9\u573a\u535a\u5f08\u6e38\u620f\u5f53\u4e2d\uff0c\u53bb\u505a\u51fa\u90a3\u79cd\u80fd\u591f\u5e26\u6765\u6b63\u671f\u671b\u503c\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\uff0c\u5982\u6b64\u8fd9\u822c\uff0c\u624d\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba9\u4f60\u5b9e\u73b0\u76c8\u5229\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e3a\u4e86\u80fd\u5feb\u901f\u8ba1\u7b97EV\u6570\u503c\uff0c\u4e0b\u9762\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u516c\u5f0f<\/p>\n<p>\u671f\u671b\u4ef7\u503c\u7b49\u4e8e\u83b7\u80dc\u6982\u7387\u4e58\u4ee5\u83b7\u80dc\u5956\u91d1\u51cf\u5931\u8d25\u6982\u7387\u4e58\u4ee5\u5931\u8d25\u5956\u91d1\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u83b7\u80dc\u6982\u7387\u4e0e\u5931\u8d25\u6982\u7387\u4e4b\u548c\u7b49\u4e8e\u767e\u5206\u4e4b\u767e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Win%\u610f\u601d\u662f\uff1a\u83b7\u80dc\u80dc\u7387<\/p>\n<p>Win$\u610f\u601d\u662f\uff1a\u83b7\u80dc\u65f6\u7684\u6536\u76ca<\/p>\n<p>Lost%\u610f\u601d\u662f\uff1a\u5931\u8d25\u6982\u7387<\/p>\n<p>Lost$\u610f\u601d\u662f\uff1a\u5931\u8d25\u65f6\u7684\u635f\u5931<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u9762\u53ef\u80fd\u770b\u4e0d\u61c2\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u6211\u5c31\u7528\u629b\u786c\u5e01\u4f8b\u5b50\u6765\u544a\u8bc9\u5927\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u629b\u5230\u4eba\u9762\uff0c\u4f60\u5c06\u8d62\u5f97+3\u3002\u5982\u679c\u629b\u5230\u5b57\u9762\uff0c\u4f60\u5c06\u635f\u5931-1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c06\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\u5957\u8fdb\u6765<\/p>\n<p>\u671f\u671b\u503c\u7b49\u4e8e\u767e\u5206\u4e4b\u4e94\u5341\u4e58\u4ee5\u4e09\u540e\u518d\u51cf\u53bb\u767e\u5206\u4e4b\u4e94\u5341\u4e58\u4ee5\u4e00\uff0c\u5176\u7ed3\u679c\u4e3a\u4e00\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5728\u957f\u671f\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4f60\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5728\u6b64\u6e38\u620f\u91cc\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u6b21\u8fdb\u884c\u6e38\u620f\u65f6\uff0c\u4f60\u5747\u4f1a\u8d62\u5f97\u4e00\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e2aEV\u503c\u5f97\u8fd0\u7528\u957f\u671f\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u53bb\u8ba1\u7b97 \uff0c\u7edd\u4e0d\u80fd\u8fdb\u884c\u5355\u6b21\u8ba1\u7b97\u55ef\u3002\u5728\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u5f53\u4e2d \uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u59cb\u7ec8\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u662f\u957f\u671f\u7684\u6e38\u620f\u7ed3\u679c \uff0c\u5e76\u975e\u77ed\u671f\u5462\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img src='\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1770678721531_1.jpg' alt='\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u5982\u4f55\u7b97\u7b79\u7801_\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514bEV\u8ba1\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f_\u5982\u4f55\u4f7f\u7528EV\u505a\u51b3\u7b56' \/><\/p>\n<p>\u6240\u4ee5\u5728\u73a9\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d<\/p>\n<p>1. \u6211\u4eec\u8981\u5c3d\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u505a+EV\u7684\u51b3\u7b56<\/p>\n<p>2. \u6211\u4eec\u8981\u5c3d\u529b\u907f\u514d\u505a-EV\u7684\u51b3\u7b56<\/p>\n<p>\u4e3a\u4e86\u66f4\u6e05\u695a\u660e\u767d\uff0c\u4e0b\u9762\u7528\u4e00\u5c40\u724c\u6765\u4e3e\u4f8b\u8bf4\u660e\u8fd9\u4e2aEV\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u8fd0\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f60\u5904\u4e8e\u3010\u5927\u76f2\u3011\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u62ff\u5230\u4e86AQ\uff0c\u524d\u4f4d\u5f03\u724c\uff0c\u4e2d\u4f4d\u5f03\u724c\uff0cCO\u4f4d\u7f6e\u5f03\u724c\uff0c\u6309\u94ae\u4f4d\u7f6e\u4e5f\u5f03\u724c\uff0c\u6b64\u65f6\u3010\u5c0f\u76f2\u3011\u8fdb\u884cAllin\uff0c\u91d1\u989d\u4e3a12\uff0c\u8fd9\u65f6\u5c31\u8981\u8fd0\u7528EV\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u6765\u505a\u51fa\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img src='\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1770678721531_2.jpg' alt='\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u5982\u4f55\u7b97\u7b79\u7801_\u5982\u4f55\u4f7f\u7528EV\u505a\u51b3\u7b56_\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514bEV\u8ba1\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f' \/><\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u516c\u5f0fEV=Win%*Win$-Lost%*Lost$<\/p>\n<p>Win$=12+1=13\uff081\u662f\u88ab\u5f3a\u884c\u4e0b\u6ce8\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4e0d\u5728\u5c5e\u4e8e\u4f60\uff09<\/p>\n<p>Lost$=11<\/p>\n<p>\u800c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u80dc\u7387\u8fd9\u8fb9\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u5927\u6982\u5224\u65ad\u5bf9\u624b\u7684\u724c\u529b\u6765\u4f30\u7b97\u80dc\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u666e\u901a\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6240\u505a\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u662f\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u6301\u6709\u5c0f\u76f2\u6ce8\u7684\u73a9\u5bb6\uff0c\u4f1a\u62e5\u6709\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u4e3a\u5bbd\u6cdb\u7684\u724c\u624b\u8303\u56f4\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u53bb\u9009\u62e9\u8ddf\u6ce8\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u662f\u9009\u62e9All in\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img src='\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/1770678721531_3.jpg' alt='\u5982\u4f55\u4f7f\u7528EV\u505a\u51b3\u7b56_\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514b\u5982\u4f55\u7b97\u7b79\u7801_\u5fb7\u5dde\u6251\u514bEV\u8ba1\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f' \/><\/p>\n<p>\u5047\u5982\u628a\u6211\u4eec\u5f53\u524d\u6240\u5904\u7684\u5c0f\u76f2\u4f4d\u7f6e\u8003\u8651\u5728\u5185\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5c31\u4f1a\u8fd0\u7528\u3010\u5927\u4e8e77\u8fd9\u4e48\u4e2a\u5bf9\u5b50\uff0cAJ\u5f80\u4e0a\u7684\u9ad8\u5f20\u6216\u8005KQ \u3011\u6765\u8fdb\u884c\u5168\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd0\u7528\u8f6f\u4ef6\u8fdb\u884c\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u6e05\u6670\u5730\u4e86\u89e3\u5230\uff0cWin \u7684\u5360\u6bd4\u5927\u7ea6\u662f 47.27%\uff0cLost \u7684\u5360\u6bd4\u5927\u7ea6\u662f 52.73%\uff0c\u5c06\u5176\u4ee3\u5165\u516c\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>EV=47.27%*13-52.73%*11=0.28<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u65f6\u6b64\u523b\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u76840.28\uff0c\u867d\u8bf4\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u5e76\u4e0d\u90a3\u4e48\u663e\u773c\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u8981\u662f\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u6301\u7eed\u4f5c\u51fa\u5982\u6b64\u8fd9\u822c\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4f60\u5728\u5fb7\u6251\u6e38\u620f\u91cc\u4fbf\u4f1a\u5728\u957f\u4e45\u65f6\u671f\u6536\u83b7\u6536\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u91cc\u7684AQ 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